Thursday, November 28, 2013

New Math

It appears agreed that the Village is in fiscal trouble.  We spend more than we make, and/or we do not have enough money to pay for the kinds of things a successful municipality must do.  Various people have described this problem in various ways, and a range of suggestions have been made to correct it.  At most dire, some feel either that the municipality will become defunct in up to 10 years, or that it will be annexed, presumably either by North Miami or by Miami Shores.  Neither of those municipalities, by the way, has any reason to want to absorb the erstwhile Village of Biscayne park.  We would be the same fiscal problem to them that we are to ourselves.

Standard approaches to our problem have included solutions like raising taxes, economizing more, and annexing some other tract of land and land use.  Each one makes a certain kind of sense, with some being a bit more sensible, or workable, than others.

But very recently, I heard two other approaches.  They are creative, unusual, and perhaps even counter-intuitive.  I always like thinking "outside the box," so approaches like these grab my attention.

The first of these approaches was suggested by Noah Jacobs.  Noah, by the way, is one of those people who says he recognizes that we are in fiscal trouble.  His recommendation was summarized at the special Commission meeting to negotiate salary and benefits with our new Manager.  There were actually two orders of business at that meeting.  The second was the Manager's contract, and the first was acceptance of the ad valorem tax rate and the coming year budget.  Noah had two proposals.  One was an objection to the tax rate and budget (he voted against both of them), and he reminded us of his wish for lower taxes.  The other was persistently, at each and every instance, to advocate in favor of any salary or benefit concession the new Manager requested.  So Noah's solution to the Village's fiscal problem, the problem that can be summarized as the Village's spending more than it makes, was to have it make less and spend more.  I told you this might seem counter-intuitive.

The other approach was shared by someone who brings fresh eyes to our problem.  Manny Espinoza is a very new BP resident.  He's been here for about 13 months now.  But he's fallen in love with the Park already, and he decided that he should be a Commissioner by now.  He already identified one problem, which was that the P&Z Board and the Commission did not think he should have a fence in front of his house.  It may even be that he will, in time, discover other imperfections.  But the present issue is that it just so happens that Manny is an accountant.  Manny informed us at the candidates' forum that in that he is an accountant, once he takes office, money will simply appear.  He didn't use the term "magic wand," but that was the sense I got in listening to him.  Or maybe he just meant that he is a devotee of "creative accounting."

So those of us who look at fiscal situations, and address them with standard addition and subtraction, may have it all wrong.  We may be suffering from lack of creativity, or the confinement of conventional thinking.  Adam Smith's "invisible hand" theory was intended to suggest that capitalist systems find their own homeostases and thereby regulate themselves.  The "invisible hand" theory "on crack" may suggest the possibility of entirely alternative realities, where amplifying deficits somehow resolves them, or money grows on trees or falls from the sky.

2 comments:

  1. What Noah told me is that the increase on property values will take care of that. I think he fails to take into consideration that in 2008 the State of Florida doubled the homestead exception from $25,000 to $50,000. That, together with the "Save our homes" law that won't let the taxable value increase more than 3% per year means many homestead homes in Florida are being subsidized by properties that do not have homestead. In Biscayne Park of course we are 100% residential and the only properties paying the full tax are a few duplex and rental homes. I don't see any way out other than annexing the few commercial or light industrial properties we can get OR we need to put the police on a separate assessment tax on a per unit basis (and I don't know if that is legally a possibility). The next commission will have to make the tough decisions for us. I am crossing my fingers here.

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    1. Thanks, Jorge. There's another complication with Noah's and Manny's theory. The houses that are now selling are selling for less than they did previously. That was the bubble. So the new taxes will be less than the old taxes. Also, the theory rests on an assumption, or a bet, that property prices will continue to rise, preferably dramatically. That's the condition that turned out to be unsustainable already. And furthermore, this theory only works if there is a continual turnover, so that new buyers are constantly bailing out the old owners, who, as you indicate, are paying an irrationally low tax. 80% of our properties are homesteaded, and the possible 3% rise in assessed value cannot keep pace with rising costs, which can and do rise faster than 3%. It's a dumb game, and a dumb bet, and we've already gotten caught losing it. And with the maneuvering we've done, our ability to function at all is dependent on things like not doing necessary improvements.
      Fred

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