Saturday, November 23, 2024

The Olivas

I'm very glad I got solar panels on my house.  My bill dropped to the then minimum monthly bill of $10.05 per month, every month, all year, until the Florida legislature allowed the Public "Service" Commission (PSC) to allow FPL to triple the minimum monthly bill to $30.17 per month.  That's what I pay every month, all year.  From time to time, I get calls from some company that wants to help me lower my electric bill (by getting solar panels, which I already have), and they start out asking if I pay at least $150 per month to FPL.  Boy, are bills like that in the rearview mirror.

I don't remember why I was talking to Mike and Melanie Oliva about my thought to get solar panels, but they already have them.  They live on the corner of 6th Avenue and 119th St, and Mike suggested the contractor who had installed their panels.  Apparently, that contractor did a good job.  So I reached out to Goldin Solar, and that's how I got my panels.  It was in 2019.  They did a great job, and have been very responsive when I have had questions, or once when I had a problem.  Which they fixed under warranty.  I highly recommend them.  And the minimum monthly bill is still low enough that I'm going to pay myself back for the panels sooner than I thought I would.  Also, the presence of those panels increases the value of my house much more than the cost of the panels.  Goldin Solar sells battery walls, too, to store the excess electricity I create every day, but those batteries are Tesla.  I won't do business with them again, and they're a certain kind of battery that you can't use every day.  Doing that deteriorates them.  I'm still going to get the minimum monthly bill from FPL/the PSC/the Florida legislature (which is paid off by FPL to allow a minimum monthly bill, which then triples) anyway, but it would be nice if I didn't get a minimum bill, and if I could store the excess electricity my solar panels make every day, so I could use it every night.  After I got solar panels, my daughter and son-in-law, who live in Massachusetts, got them, too.  Massachusetts doesn't allow a minimum monthly bill, and my daughter and son-in-law often get a monthly bill of $0, and sometimes a small check by Eversource, the electric company up there.

So I very much appreciate the referral Mike Oliva gave me.  I'm friendly with the Olivas, and I had dinner there one night.  In addition to anything else, Mike is an excellent cook.  Mike and Melanie restrict to a vegan diet, as I do, so there was an added pleasure of joining them for dinner.

Melanie paints.  She does gorgeous oil paintings.  My daughter liked the one I had bought from Melanie -- it was a mostly red painting, and it featured a bee -- so I gave that one to my daughter, and I bought a different one from Melanie.  I don't know where Melanie sells her art, other than occasionally to people like me, but she has a wonderful talent, and I wouldn't be surprised if she made a living as a painter/artist.

The Olivas are relatively quiet and unassuming neighbors.  It's possible you don't know them.  But they're wonderful neighbors to have, and they're a sort of classic asset to the Village.


Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Ah, It's Give Miami Day

You have loads of choices.  I encourage you to support as many as appeal to you.

Just now, I got a text message I was asked to communicate.  Here it is:

"I want to share something close to my heart (True):  'Musimelange,' an immersive, multi-sensory concert series featuring world class musicians. (True) These events beautifully blend live classical (almost always) music or jazz (It was flamenco once) with gastronomy in a stage-less environment, creating a true sense of belonging. (True)

"They are also preparing concerts designed especially for 'kids' to spark their love for music. (News to me)

"This week, we're part of 'Give Miami Day' to bring our 2025 season to life.  Your support will help us continue creating these magical (True) evenings and inspiring the next generation.  (If you have kids, this might be a great way to get them redirected from lesser forms of music)

"Donate here: https://www.givemiamiday.org/team/Musimelange (If you just go to www.givemiamiday, you'll find all of the choices, including this one.  Although if you go to this link, and you donate, you'll be offered a route to other organizations.  So you'll get to the same place either way.)

"Even a $25 donation will help us reach our goal -- The Miami Foundation will give us an additional $25 for each donation, up to $1000!  We need 40 donations to unlock the full $1000.  Every contribution makes a difference!

"Thank you! (And then, there are some musical notes and a heart icon)"


I don't donate to musimelange on Give Miami Day, because I give them a larger donation separately.  Although I don't want them to miss out on the extra $1000, so I'll contact them, and ask if they'd rather get my donation today.  I most certainly hope they get more than 40 donations.  Ideally, it would be closer to 100 or more.  It's a very unique experience, and they don't have a lot of patrons.  I have written about them several or more times, and they shouldn't be missed.  It's all the top shelf wine you can drink, all the gourmet food you can eat, a spectacular concert (I have never been to one that was not spectacular), all the dessert you want, experienced in an intimate setting, and in the company of delightful and interesting people.  They should charge more, but they don't.  It's been $95 per evening, or $300 for the four-evening series.  They start in January, and the last evening is in about April.


I encourage you to donate to musimelange, and any of the other organizations that appeal to you, and really, please, do yourselves a huge favor, and attend musimelange's evenings.  They are the most unique cultural experiences you'll ever have.


Tuesday, November 12, 2024

You Busy? No, Not Today. I'm Talking About Saturday, November 23. You Know, Somewhere Around, Let's Say, 8:00 PM.

 Orchestra Miami presents Puccini's Legacy - Saturday, Nov. 23rd at Scottish Rite (youtube.com)

This will be the second Puccini presentation Orchestra Miami has put on this month.  The first was at someone's house on NE 72nd St and 7th Avenue.  You can preview a short snippet of the upcoming show by using the link above.  It's possible that the arrow in the middle of the picture below will take you to the same place on youtube.

The fact is that it doesn't much matter what Orchestra Miami does.  Every bit of it is first class.  The Artistic Director, and conductress/Maestra is Elaine Rinaldi, who founded Orchestra Miami about 18 years ago.  She chooses the programs.  And the musicians and singers.  And conducts.  And sometimes, if she doesn't have to conduct, plays piano.  And for what it's worth is a delightful person.

This is an example of the e-mails Elaine sends out for these kinds of shows:

Hello, friends!


I hope you all had a beautiful Veteran's Day and took a moment to remember and honor those ho have served, and continue to serve in the armed forces.


It was so wonderful to see many of you at our Unknown Puccini concert last night, which featured the Studio Artists of the Florida Grand Opera. We had a great time learning more about Maestro Puccini and playing a round of "Name That Tune- Puccini Version"! See below for some pictures.


We're less than 2 weeks away from our main event- Puccini's Legacy! Now is the perfect time to avoid the rush at the door and get your tickets.


I'm so excited to introduce to you our spectacular guest artists for the Puccini's Legacy concert. Scroll down to meet our guests!


I can't wait to see you all on the 23rd. Until then, stay well!!

Warmly,


Elaine Rinaldi

Founder & Artistic Director

Orchestra Miami

Promo video for Puccini's Legacy Nov 23rd at Miami Scottish Rite Temple


Elaine usually undercharges for these shows, but I must be making contact, because tickets for this one are more of a fair price.  Still on the low side for this kind of event, but more fair.

It's most likely you're not familiar with the Scottish Rite venue, but when I started going to Orchestra Miami shows, most of them were there.  It's an interesting historic building, very close to downtown Miami, and parking is free in the grassy lot, or you can pay on the street.

Frankly, I hope you show up.  You'll love it.  For all I know, you might come to love Orchestra Miami, too.  Elaine and the crew perform at various places from as far down as Pinecrest Gardens to as far up as the Miami Beach Bandshell.






Monday, October 21, 2024

Reporting Back

Zak (the baker) Stern hosted a very delightful and very well attended event Friday late afternoon, October 18.  Zak has become very well known in Dade County, because of his sourdough-based baked goods, and he's a BP resident!  He lives on 118th St, two houses from where Sylvia Linke used to live, and he bought Sylvia's house as well, as a place for his offspring to live.

Zak served a variety of edibles, and he also provided wine.  When the general mingling ended, Zak recapitulated the story of his life, which started in Kendall, and his adventures in places like Israel and France, and finally, how he decided to make a career in the food business.  Zak settled into a storefront/bakery in Wynwood, which is still his base, and he bakes for that outlet, a number of local restaurants, and several nearby Whole Foods stores.  My sense is that Zak, who is a very nice guy, is modest, and my best guess is that he's very successful.

When Zak finished his presentation, about himself and his evolution as a frankly master baker, he offered to take questions (a Q&A component).  One person asked him what local restaurants he himself likes.  His top choice was Walrus Rodeo on NE 2nd Ave at about 52nd St.  Since I had no other compelling food plans on Saturday, I decided to try them out.

Walrus Rodeo is a medium-sized restaurant, and it seemed almost full when my companion and I arrived.  The maitresse d' said there were no available tables, and we would have to wait about 1 1/4 hours for one.  I said we'd leave, and maybe come back another time -- I had not the slightest willingness to wait that long -- and the maitresse d' suddenly found us an open table.  (Hmm)

Our waiter was a little sketchy about the sizes of items on order, and he suggested we order about four items, even though he said inconsistently that items were somewhat small, but large enough to share.  Since neither of us was terribly hungry, we ordered a "za" (pizza, like Kanye West calls himself "Ye") and a kale salad.  Between those two dishes and the absence of ravenous appetites, what we ordered was in fact enough.

I would not return to Walrus Rodeo.  I'll set aside what felt like the manipulativeness of the seating.  The food was too expensive.  A relatively small six-slice pizza was $22, and it was not nearly as good as a much larger (about twice the size) $26 veggie with no cheese pizza from Tomato and Basil, which is much closer.  The salad ($17, which was much too much money) was fine, but neither the pizza choices nor the salad choices, nor anything else on the menu, allowed me to keep my preferred vegan restriction.  The restaurant was oddly much too noisy.  The ceiling appeared to have been covered with some contoured metal tiles, and the ceiling was high, so maybe it was that.  There was a tiny, but bizarre, 2% add-on to the bill ($.75) , and it was called a "Health Care Service Charge."  I asked about it, and the waiter said he assumed it was the restaurant's attempt to recover the amount they spent for health care for employees.  Also, I'm not particular about water, so I asked for tap water.  There was an extra $1 charge for Vero water.  I'm happy for Zak if he likes eating there, but it was so trendy as to be annoying, way too expensive, way too noisy, and not as good as I can get elsewhere.

As I was leaving Friday evening's event, Ryan Huntington approached me to ask if he could talk to me about his campaign.  We agreed on Sunday morning at 11:00.  What was initially curious about Ryan's having approached me is that he has never approached me before (but clearly knows who I am), has never called me by name, has not (now twice) asked me to host one of his yard signs, even though it's inconceivable that Mac Kennedy has not mentioned this possible opportunity to Ryan (twice), and has not, for example, said that he heard about this blog, and my always ready willingness to have candidates be guest authors, so they can use the blog as part of their campaigns.  But I cheerfully agreed to meet Ryan (why he wanted to meet at the recreation center was curious and unexplained).

Ryan knocked on my door at about 10:00 Sunday morning.  This time, he addressed me by name ("Fred"), and told me he needed to cancel our meeting, because his wife wasn't feeling well.  He said he'd get back to me to reschedule.  It is now 6:30 Monday afternoon, and I never heard back from Ryan.  We had exchanged phone numbers, so all he had to do was call.  In fact, we could have had our conversation by phone, if his wife wasn't feeling well.  That does not appear to be what Ryan had in mind.  As it happens, I have one of Mac Kennedy's campaign signs, and a Harris/Walz sign, clearly visible in my swale.  Ryan didn't even ask if he could add his sign.  Neither did Dan Samaria, who had come by to drop off his campaign literature.

So that's my report.  I won't go back to Walrus Rodeo, and I'm not voting for any BP Commissioners.  Mac Kennedy will get the most votes, as he should, and I don't care who comes in second or third.  The only difference it might make is that Dan Samaria might use his time to argue with Mac, and Ryan might not do the same.  But it remains to be seen.  There might be three functional Commissioners, or there might be two.  I've spoken to Dan, but not to Ryan, and I can't be bothered to guess what either of them will do.  As it happens, Mac sent out an e-mail today, and he talked about what he considers to be the Commission's recent accomplishments, which he seems to say he powered.  If that's true, then he can create a functional majority after the next two years whether Dan gets a four year term or Ryan does.



Wednesday, October 9, 2024

A Problem With Democrats

Democrats don't have enough faith, or enough devotion.  They're Democrats -- they'll tell you that -- but they often lack tenacious commitment, especially to other Democrats.

In recent years, take, for example, the matter of Al Franken, who was a Senator from Minnesota for a time.  But a photograph surfaced showing Franken, who had been a comedian before he went into politics, pretending to reach for the breasts of a woman sleeping on a military airplane.  Franken had been a surprisingly (considering that his former career was as a comedian) wonderful Senator.  He was uniquely smart, and perhaps thanks to his former career in entertainment, he was very good at expressing himself, sometimes particularly in light-hearted ways that almost masked the seriousness of the matter at hand.

But when that photograph surfaced, Democrats urged him to resign, which he did.  He hadn't touched the sleeping woman, or done anything to her, but he was comedically non-serious in a way that his colleagues felt was unbecoming his office.  They didn't argue in favor of his value to the Senate, or to point out that he hadn't done anything to the woman in the photograph.  And they certainly didn't pretend he didn't do what the photograph showed him pretending to do.  They jettisoned, or abandoned, him.  Because he betrayed their idea of proper enough decorum.

Or take the matter of Bob Menendez, a Senator from NJ.  He was found with unexplained money and specie, which he shouldn't have had, and which it appeared he had gotten from Egyptian oligarchs.  His colleagues have leaned, and continue to lean, heavily on him to resign.  The "optics" are very bad, and there's every indication he accepted bribes.  His Democratic colleagues would have nothing to do with apparent behavior like that, and he, too, has been fighting off being pushed out by his own party.

Or think of Tulsi Gabbard, or Kyrsten Sinema, or Joe Manchin.  They were all reliable Democratic votes, but they were felt not to have upheld the Democratic agenda.  Gabbard and Sinema are out -- Sinema having changed parties (again) -- and Manchin is not running for re-election.

Much more recently, consider Joe Biden.  One bad debate, and Democrats quickly got all over him to abandon his re-election bid.

You don't generally find problems like that with Republicans.  They are mostly unwaveringly committed to their party, and if any one flinches, he or she gets extruded.  Republicans don't seem to care what their agenda or platform is, or who represents it, or how.  They are stalwart in standing alongside even the most absurd, ridiculous, or self-contradictory members of their party.  They will support even convicted felons in their party.  If anyone declares him- or herself Republican, a large number of other Republicans will have his or her back, no matter what.

It must be a great comfort for Republicans to know they can do whatever they want, and they'll get support.  Democrats don't have that advantage.  They have to behave themselves, honor the Constitution, and put country before party.  Their colleagues are rigorous in demanding all that, and they brook no lapses.


Thursday, October 3, 2024

Yes They Do.

The comment made by Tim Walz was that JD Vance's theory about abortion is "two wrongs don't make a right."  Vance had reportedly never before met Walz, but apparently felt free to call him "Tim" -- Walz is a Governor, of which there are 50, and Vance is a Senator, of which there are 100, so if you think the office of Governor is a higher office, I agree with you, making it either simply disrespectful or cocky to call a Governor you don't know by his first name when you're meeting him in person, and you haven't been offered permission.   Regarding the "two wrongs don't make a right" crack, I was a child once, too, but not lately.  But Vance not only didn't confirm that this is his philosophy, but more importantly, he didn't explain it.  And it's worth considering whether Vance, even if his philosophizing is at the immature level of a child, is right.

Walz offered some examples of recent situations in which abortion was withheld.  One of them was of a pregnant adult woman who experienced pregnancy-related problems that could have been life-threatening, but instead turned out to damage her reproductive capacity so that it appears she is unlikely to be able to have children.  Since Vance has made repeatedly publicly clear that in his opinion, there should be more children in this country, and they should be born of American citizen parents, and not welcomed as immigrants, Vance himself would presumably count as a "wrong" that a woman of child-bearing age, who wants children, either dies or can no longer have them, because she didn't get an abortion.  (In very recent examples Walz did not raise, two women actually did die of pregnancy complications because the pregnancies were not terminated when the pregnant women were in medical danger.)

What happens to this arithmetic if we consider, for purpose of imagining, that abortion is "wrong?"  It then becomes the second "wrong."  But it restores women of child-bearing age to an ability to live, and care for their other children, and to have more children, which Vance favors.  So if becoming medically damaged or infertile, or dying, is "wrong," then the second "wrong" -- abortion, makes the situation "right."  It salvages "right" from "wrong."

Another situation Walz mentioned was about a 12 year old girl who was not only raped, but impregnated, by her step-father.  It is most likely that everyone would agree that no one, and certainly not 12 year olds, should be raped.  That, I assume, is what Vance might agree was "wrong."  It's possible that the 12 year old would not have gotten pregnant, but she did.  Vance likes the idea of American children, but we'd have to ask him if he likes the idea -- considers it "right" -- that 12 year old American girls become impregnated, especially if they didn't want the sexual encounter.  I'm very tempted to think that even Vance would find something at least partially "wrong" with a situation like that.

But again, suppose we imagine abortion to be "wrong."  If that raped-by-her-stepfather 12 year old now pregnant girl gets an abortion, so she's no longer 12 years old and pregnant, and can live a vastly more normal life, and perhaps her rapist step-father gets convicted and incarcerated, don't those two "wrongs" combine to make a "right?"  Doesn't the first "wrong" get corrected or eliminated by the second "wrong?"

It was Walz who said Vance thinks "two wrongs don't make a right" (is Vance really an adult?), but Vance didn't disagree.  It was a debate stage.  Both of them were there together, listening to each other.  Vance had every opportunity to correct Walz if he thought Walz misquoted or misunderstood him.  I think we have no choice but to assume Vance said and meant what Walz quoted him as having said.

If that's the case, and again, we don't have a basis to find a way out for Vance, then Vance appears to have been wrong: two "wrongs" really do make a right."  They make things right.  Unfortunately, listening to these examples did not lead Vance to interject that those were unusual cases in which abortion would, in fact, have been the "right" thing.  He's a very stubborn boy.  And perhaps to make matters worse, Vance and his ilk have so terrorized the medical community that they are now afraid to make these clinical decisions, for fear of being punished.  So even if Vance now said these were terrible and exceptional situations, and abortion should have happened, his opinion today isn't going to help dead pregnant women (with dead fetuses), women who can consequently no longer have children, and 12 year old mothers.


Friday, September 27, 2024

We Should Be More Sporting About This. It's Too Easy Just to Declare Myself Patently Right.

There is, of course, no such thing as "god," but considering all the boosterism, it seems unfairly unceremonious to dismiss this matter without at least playing at it.

GOP Congressman's Prayer "Should Be Offensive To Every Christian" (msn.com)

Frankly, there appears to be nothing to recommend Clay Higgins to anyone in any way.  Whether Mike Johnson considers himself an exception, or he was just lying, is not determinable.  Higgins is, and always has been, a nasty character.  He can't hold jobs, because he's intolerable, and he has no respect for anyone.

So, when Higgins got caught making his most recent hostile and destructive wisecrack (referred to as a "rant") on what Brian Cohen calls nuTwitter, at the expense, of course, of other people, he sort of panicked, in his pathetic way.  According to the report, Higgins sequestered himself to a corner of the House of Representatives (Louisiana; don't even ask me how such a thing could happen) to "pray" about what to do. 

It's unclear and unspecified to what Higgins prayed, but the result was that he decided to remove the nuTwitter twit, hosted by the nuTwitter twat.

And let's be clear here.  Higgins did not apologize to anyone, nor did he say he had come to realize he was wrong.  His big gesture was just to remove the twit.  In fact, if there was any way to add insult to injury, Higgins said he was right about what he decided should not be public.

And Johnson?  He accepted the intervention of prayer, and he described Higgins as a "dear friend and colleague [from Louisiana]," and he further described Higgins as "frank," "outspoken," and "very principled."

But here's the problem.  Or, as Shakespeare said, the rub.  If someone is acceptable as a "dear friend," is "very principled," and is reachable by prayer to some sort of hyper ethical almighty, why is he using "social" media to spew that kind of shit in the first place?  I am, of course, most prominently considering that he himself is a liar and full of shit, but if I don't do that, then it's a real head-scratcher.

Why would "god" let the faithful behave that way?  Or why wouldn't "god" take the same position Mike Johnson took, and reassure the supplicant that he is a good person, worthy of being someone's "dear friend," "very principled," and very simply expressing sentiments it is his every right, and perhaps even obligation, to express?  After all, if Haitians are horrible people who steal and eat their neighbors' pets, and ought to go back to Haiti, why shouldn't Higgins freely say so, and why shouldn't "god" frankly pat him on the back for his courage and efforts to protect, you know, real Americans?

Unless, I don't know, there's actually no such thing as "god," and all of this was a scam perpetrated on suckers willing to go along with it.  (You can't unread what people read, and since Higgins strategically didn't recant, well...)  I'd include Mike Johnson in that latter group, but I don't think he's one bit better.  Christians have no idea how many things "Should Be Offensive to Every Christian."


Monday, September 23, 2024

"More"

The watchword of addicts is "more."  I've probably spoken before about a friend of mine who has a very remote history of substance abuse.  My friend has been abstinent, and going faithfully and weekly to AA meetings, for 41 years. 

Generally, when we think of addicts, we think of one or another consumable substance (alcohol, cocaine, heroin, etc).  Having/getting "more" means using "more."  But there's another thing to which people become addicted in precisely the same way, except they acquire "more," even though they have no use for it.  Those people are addicted to money.  The people with the most money don't need it, can't use it, and frankly don't even want it.  They're just addicted to getting it, and reminding themselves of how much of it is in their control.

The vast, vast, vast majority of people who get money are not counterfeiters: they don't create their own money.  The money they get they take from everyone else, and part of the frenzy is that they ignore what becomes of the people whose money they take, and how those people manage without the money from which they've been separated, simply so that someone with no use for it can claim it for him- or herself.

Warren Buffett, who is one of the people with way too much money (especially considering that he has and has always had a modest lifestyle), is famous for, among other things, essentially complaining that his secretary, Debbie, is in a higher tax bracket than he is.  He recognizes what's wrong with the tax code.  But he can't bring himself simply to pay a higher tax, or take fewer deductions.  I saw, but didn't bother to read, a recent article about him in which he identified a great new investment which had the distinction of not being taxable.  As I said, he's like any other addict, except he can't consume or otherwise use the thing to which he's addicted.  And he's said he just likes making money.  (We're talking here about someone with hundreds of billions of dollars.  And that person wants more, which is going to come directly or indirectly from other people, and disadvantage them?  Buffett has also said that the best way to make money is to have a monopoly.  He likes shooting fish in a barrel.)

Well, other people have an opinion about people who are addicted to money.  Whether they resent it, or it was their money the obscenely rich now have, or they're victims of "greedflation," or even if they're jealous, they have an opinion.

More than 7 in 10 Voters Think American Billionaires Should be Paying More in Taxes

First of all, this chart is about "billionaires."  It's hard to imagine the people surveyed wouldn't feel the same way about people with hundreds of millions, or tens of millions, of dollars.  Especially considering that the dynamic is the same.

Second, we're talking about everyone.  Even more than half of Republicans, who tend to be more accepting of people with way too much money, think billionaires should pay a higher tax.  Over 2/3 of Independents and all likely voters surveyed feel that way, and over 4/5 of Democrats feel that way.

Data For Progress is described as left-leaning, and their "538 Rating" is said to be 2.6.  The highest rated polling organizations get a "538 Rating" of 3.0, and the lowest get a rating of 0.5.  So 2.6 has reliability to it, mildly exaggerated, presumably, by its left slant.  So even if these responses were discounted a little, and if the discount meant that not quite 53% of Republicans think billionaires should pay a higher tax, still, overall, most Americans do think that.

And whether they think it or they don't, what, really, does anyone want with that much money, taken from everyone else, many of whom live hand to mouth?  I saw a statistic not long ago about the surprisingly high proportion of Americans who could not meet a sudden need for $400, and a similar statistic about how many Americans have $1000 or less in savings.

A few weeks or so ago, I got a cold call from some investment company in Texas, and they were offering to produce a significant return on money invested with them, and loaned to private individuals.  They said they carefully screen the prospective borrowers, and the investment company is so careful about screening that only 6% of borrowers are late making payments.  The cold caller also said that most borrowers borrow $600-$1000.  I thought this sounded terrible: people were screened out (not approved for loans), those who were approved were so marginal that all they needed was $600-$1000, and still, 6% of them couldn't repay on time?  So I asked how much interest the borrowers were charged.  It depended on the loan and the borrower, but it was either 20% or 30%.  I would have thought that as a technical and legal matter, this was usury, but whether it was or it wasn't, there was no way I was going to be part of a system that extracted that kind of interest from people who were already that desperate.  So I refused.  I loan money to people -- mostly friends -- and I don't charge them any interest.  I told this company that if they charged the borrowers much less interest, and gave me 3-4%, I'd be happy.

But "we're all in this together," there's no reason to compromise other people, and no one needs to be a billionaire.  I don't know if there were any billionaires when Eisenhower (R) was president, but the highest tax rate during his administrations was in the 90%s.  Hardly anyone paid that level of tax, because of deductions.  I was a kid then, my parents had five children, my father worked, my mother didn't, and we got along fine.

Yeah, billionaires, the vast majority of whom are billionaires because they have dizzyingly high incomes, should pay much more tax.  These are people who live in this country because they choose to.  They should care about its welfare, and about the welfare of their countrymen.


Wednesday, September 18, 2024

I Don't Think I Agree

It is frequently enough said, and said even now, that debates don't affect political races.  The common reference now is regarding the election of the president.  But it seems to me that debates very much do, or can, change elections.

It was somewhat before my time, per se (in 1954, when I was too young to be aware of such things), that Joseph Welch, during Senate interrogations, had the following interaction with the infamous Joe McCarthy: "Until this moment, Senator, I think that I have never really gauged your cruelty or your recklessness.  Fred Fisher is a young man who went to the Harvard Law School and came into my firm and is starting with what looks to be a brilliant career with us...Little did I dream that you could be so reckless and so cruel as to do an injury to that lad.  It is true he is still with [Welch's Boston law firm] Hale and Dorr.  It is true he will continue to be with Hale and Dorr.  It is, I regret to say, equally true that he shall always bear a scar needlessly inflicted by you.  If it were in my power to forgive you for your reckless cruelty, I would do so.  I like to think I am a gentleman, but your forgiveness will have to come from someone other than me."  This was not a presidential debate, but it was a formal Senate hearing, with witnesses like Welch.  McCarthy pressed on against Fisher, and this led Welch to say "Senator, may we not drop this?  We know he belonged to the Lawyers' Guild...Let us not assassinate this lad further, Senator.  You've done enough.  Have you no sense of decency, sir, at long last?  Have you left no sense of decency?"  McCarthy tried to ask Fisher another question, and Welch intervened.  The public who were present broke into applause, and Welch's TV performance turned the tide of the public and press overnight.  McCarthy was later censured by the Senate for bringing dishonor and disrepute onto the body.  The two sentences I have highlighted are widely considered to have changed the course of at least part of the rabid anti-Communist crusade at the time.  And they were very consequential to McCarthy.  This was not a debate in the usual sense, and certainly not a presidential debate, but it was a formal hearing, and its effect was dramatic.

In 1960, then VP Richard Nixon (VP for a very popular president for eight years) debated JFK, then a Senator.  That presidential debate was televised as well.  It has widely been considered that the debate, at least as much as anything else, got JFK elected.  The matter was style.  Nixon was obviously uncomfortable, stiff, and prone to perspiring, and Kennedy connected in a far more effective way with the public, even if they were watching on TV.  He seemed encouraging and trustworthy in ways that "Tricky Dick" did not.

Those interactions were a long time ago, but many more people will remember the debate between Carter, the incumbent, and Reagan.  Setting aside Reagan's slick delivery style (he was, after all, an actor), many people will remember his "there you go again" wisecrack.  Carter was not assertive, and most certainly not cocky, and the fact that Reagan would diminish the president of the United States this way, in public, added to his aura.  He bought himself a lot of votes with that crack.

Many years later, in 2020, Biden debated Trump, the incumbent, also on TV.  Biden called Trump a "clown," twice, and told him to "shut up" once.  And Biden won the election.  In my opinion, Biden's ability and willingness to rub Trump's nose in excrement this way bought him votes, just as Reagan bought himself votes by showing disrespect for the incumbent president.  And lest anyone think that Trump couldn't have won anyway, because he was, in fact, such a patent fool and a loser, it should not be forgotten that he got more votes in '20, after he proved himself to be a totally self-focused idiot and an inveterate liar, than he did in '16, when he just gave the public reason to have strong suspicions that he was self-focused, an idiot, and a liar.

And then, there was the '24 debate between Biden and Trump.  That debate pulled away many of Biden's supporters, and knocked him out of the race.  You couldn't in any way say that debate had no consequences.

As for Trump's debate against Harris, at least 2/3 of people surveyed say Harris "won" the debate.  And she made some mistakes, and could have done better.  But that debate assured many thus far "undecideds," and has certainly bought her considerable support.  For what it's worth, several people who are very popular in the entertainment industry suddenly declared their support for Harris, and have been breathtakingly effective at encouraging their fans to register to vote.

It might be true that presidential, or primary, debates often aren't dramatically consequential.  But sometimes, they most definitely are.


Sunday, September 15, 2024

Who Ever Thought I Would Quote Spiro Agnew?

Trump’s dour negativity contrasted with Harris’s optimism about America | Robert Reich | The Guardian

I really never knew what Agnew meant when he whined about "nattering nabobs of negativism."  Clearly, at the time, he thought he was talking about people like...me.  Although if you're the VP for Richard Nixon, do you really think someone like...me...is a nattering nabob of negativism?

Agnew, according to Wikipedia, was a champion of civil rights, and in his term in office in Maryland was a "moderately progressive administration," with all the agenda of a moderately progressive administration.  Agnew died in 1996.  I wonder if, as a Republican (assuming he wouldn't be dismissed as a RINO), he wouldn't feel awash in nattering nabobs of negativism in his own party today.  He couldn't fight his way out of Florida.

And he very much didn't approve of violence: "we have a new breed of self-appointed vigilantes arising -- the counterdemonstrators -- taking the law into their own hands because officials fail to call law enforcement authorities."  What would Agnew have thought if the officials themselves actually provoked the counterdemonstrators into becoming self-appointed vigilantes?  Had he been Trump's VP on and before 1/6/21, would he have been stern with the soon outgoing president?

Wikipedia also quotes Agnew as having criticized "the hopeless, hysterical hypochondriacs of history" and "supercilious sophisticates."  It seems he had a flair for alliteration.  But then, it mentions his "slashing invective."  Donnie probably doesn't know any of the words Agnew used, but it's certainly true that he, too, is deeply fond of slashing invective, used against anyone, even in his own Party.

But then, in 1972 and 1973, it turned out that an investigation into corruption in Baltimore County uncovered that although Agnew had been receiving illegal kickbacks in the middle 1960s, which were no longer at issue because of the statute of limitations, he was still receiving them as VP.  So, you know, tax fraud and corruption, explained away as a, you know, campaign contribution, and rejected as "damned lies."  (Agnew had already expressed his opinion about the news media.  Very typical hard right views.)

But Agnew was checkmated, and he agreed to a plea bargain in exchange for no incarceration.  He had first tried arguing that a sitting VP could not be indicted (how prescient), but that flailing argument didn't get any traction.

So, he ended his career in politics, moved to his summer home in Ocean City, but had to borrow what was then $200K from his friend, Frank Sinatra, because he was drowning in debt.  And the Maryland Court of Appeals disbarred him, commenting that he was "morally obtuse."  (All that clever alliterative nonsense, and the guy turns out to be an idiot.)

In 1976, he published a novel (hmm), but got himself into some trouble due to references to "Jewish cabals and Zionist lobbies," which the protagonist (Agnew) said had a hold over American media.  On a book tour, Agnew addressed this, and reassured that it was true.  Although..."Agnew denied any antisemitism or bigotry: 'My contention is that the American news media...favors the Israeli position and does not in a balanced way present the other equities."  I can't imagine who could possibly have mistaken that for antisemitism or bigotry.

By 1977, Agnew had made enough money to move to California, pay Sinatra back, but was still whining about having been "bled dry."  So, he...reached out to a Saudi Crown Prince for an interest-free loan of $2M, to be deposited in a Swiss bank.  (Is this kind of thing genetic among Republicans?)  He was going to leave the principal there, and just use the interest.  And why did he want the money?  To "continue my effort to inform the American people of [Zionists']  control of the media and other influential sectors of American society."  No, it wasn't American Communists, or Haitian immigrants eating the pets of residents of Springfield, MO, but still...

In a 1980 memoir he called Go Quietly...Or Else, he continued to proclaim his innocence, but otherwise disappeared from view.

As a postscript regarding the illegal behavior that led him to resign from politics, a Maryland judge ordered him to repay the kickbacks, and interest, which he did.  Then, he argued that this repayment should be tax deductible.

And if you think I'm unfairly picking on Agnew for his outrageous behaviors, Wikipedia also says "Some recent historians have seen Agnew as important in the development of the 'New Right,' arguing that he should be honored alongside the acknowledged founding fathers of the movement such as Goldwater and Reagan...Agnew's fall shocked and saddened conservatives, but it did not inhibit the growth of the 'New Right'...Agnew helped recast Republicans as a Party of 'Middle Americans,' and, even in disgrace, reinforced the public's distrust of government"

Finally, the "might have been" offered about Agnew was "It is not a far stretch to imagine that if Agnew had contested corruption charges half as hard as Nixon denied culpability for Watergate -- as Goldwater and several other stalwart conservatives wanted him to -- [or half as hard as Donnie insists he was robbed], today we might be speaking of Agnew-Democrats and Agnewnomics, and deem Agnew the father of modern conservatism."

So I do quote Agnew.  And frankly, I agree with him about "nattering nabobs of negativism."  I just think he was missing one item: a mirror.


Monday, September 9, 2024

Perhaps I'm Just Not Man Enough.

Trump CRASHES AND BURNS at his OWN rally (youtube.com)

You already know about the 14 year old Georgia kid who wiped out two of his classmates and two teachers with an assault weapon he received as a present from his father.  They're both being indicted.

Maybe you care, and maybe you don't.  It's possible we have so overwhelmingly many of these mass shootings/murders in this country that you've sort of lost a sense of perspective about them.  Donnie Trump and JD Vance haven't lost perspective.

Donnie says he's surprised to see this kind of thing, and surprised to see it here.  Although it's unclear why he's surprised, at about 2:49, he gives you perspective: "you have to get over it."

I've been a psychiatrist for a long time, and I will tell you that the thing people never get over more than anything else is the death of their own offspring.  It makes you wonder about someone whose perspective is "you have to get over it."  Should we assume Donnie would get over the death of his own offspring, because at some level, frankly, he doesn't care about them, or is he giving "you" advice he himself would be unable to take?  I guess he would give the same advice to the families of the two teachers who aren't coming home: "you have to get over it."

And then, there's JD Vance.  At about 3:34, he says he "[doesn't] like this," he "[doesn't] like to admit this," and he "[doesn't] like to admit this is a fact of life."  He doesn't make clear what he thinks is a "fact of life."  That everyone will die?  Yes, that's a "fact of life."  That two 14 year old kids who went to school, and two teachers who went to teach them, aren't coming home, because some 14 year old kid whose dad gave him an assault weapon decided to go on a murder rampage?  No, that doesn't really count as a "fact of life" in the way we feel we have to accept it.  Vehicular deaths?  Cancer?  Horrible, everyone hates it, but yeah, "fact of life."  Getting gunned down by some early teen whose father has the world's worst judgment?  No.

Although Vance did go on to clarify what he doesn't like, and what he doesn't like to admit.  (No, it was not that a 14 year old with a tragically disturbed father assassinated four people at school.  That wasn't what JD didn't like, and didn't like to admit.)  JD doesn't like the "fact of life" that we're going to have to harden the schools, presumably with more armed people.  If you think this is a sick vicious circle, you're not going to get any argument from me.

There's something very wrong with this country, and with many of the people who live here.  Way too many of us are on a murder rampage, and someone thinks this is sort of OK.  Presumably, they would like to watch gladiators, or lions fighting people, or dog fights, or cock fights, too.  They just have a disturbing and pathological tolerance for violence and destruction.

Yes, of course I know they think there's a "Second Amendment," and that this somehow gives civilians the right to carry guns.  It doesn't.  The "Second Amendment," which has been informally and indirectly repealed, has nothing to do with guns.  It's about militias.  There are a lot of problems regarding militias, especially in modern times, but if you want to know about them, read Federalist Paper #29.  Fourteen year olds don't qualify.  But more important, militias have a purpose.  That purpose (there are actually two of them) is to protect the states from federal over-reach and domination, and to join the Union if it's attacked from abroad.  Either purpose requires militias to be armed as their enemies are armed.  But the meaningful arms required to do that are already illegal ("infringed") for civilian possession.  The fact is that militias have no role, and neither does the "Second Amendment."

Maybe if someone assassinates Donnie's children, he'll give us an object example of the process of getting over it.  And if someone assassinates JD's children, he can credibly advocate for more guns in and around schools.  No, of course that won't bring back his children, but he can show us how to man up.


Friday, September 6, 2024

I Know What You're Asking Yourselves: Who Am I to Talk?

I've lived here 19 years.  I was a Commissioner.  Once.  And I would have had only a two year term, except we piggybacked ourselves onto the general election, so each of us got one extra year to synchronize us.  My three year term ended at the end of 2016, and I failed to get elected in two more attempts.  None of this is anything to write home about, at least not in itself, two dimensionally.  And if you accuse me of having stopped bothering to attend or monitor meetings, I won't argue with you.  You're right.

During those three measly years, we extensively renovated the log cabin, built the Administration building, did a tree-trimming project, and did some smaller projects which, to be honest, depended on the amazing good will and good heart of Roxy Ross.  We tried to step up the driveway and swale Ordinance, but we couldn't come to agreement.  We hired Sharon Ragoonan to replace Heidi Siegel.  We outsourced sanitation, because keeping it as an in-house program was an increasing mess and excessively expensive, even though we paid our employees less than poverty wage.  And we were careful to choose -- insistent upon -- an outsource contractor that would promise to hire every one of our guys at more than we were paying them.  Not one of them was interested.  Hmm.

And we have had a succession of awful, useless, and destructive Commissions since I left office.  We've had bad mayor after bad mayor, Commissioners who had neither agenda nor interest, a series of terrible managers, and no Commission since the one of which I was a member has accomplished anything of any value to the Village.  (David Raymond will say we've gotten some of the drainage system cleaned, and I'm not sure he's entirely wrong about that, but we have no long term plan to keep them clean.  So we still get flooding, even if it's less in front of David's and Amy's house.)

We cared.  We wanted something.  We wanted a better Village.  And that was the point: it was about the Village, not about us.  In the eight years since I stopped being a Commissioner, and David Coviello moved away, and Roxy and Chuck Ross moved away, none of that has been true.  Between the angry power-grabbers and the me, me, me shows, the Village has gained nothing.

In my time and before, we used to begin every new Commission (every two years) with a "visioning retreat."  Not any more.  No one has vision, and no one wants to make any attempt to find common ground among Commissioners.

I regret that you don't want more.  House prices, and therefore property taxes, have gone up, and we have more to work with.  You/we could have a better Village.  This is our home.  It's where we live.  And rear our children.  And die at some point.  Unless you move away first.  But really, you could have more, a better neighborhood, and a better life.  You would just have to give a shit.  And it seems hardly anyone does.

Go take a walk.  Look at all those medians.  Really?  That's good enough for you?


Thursday, August 29, 2024

Or Perhaps Not Entirely Resolved?

I admit the unresolved issue regarding the Commission that will be seated in November was which of the three "new" Commissioners would get the two year term.  I hadn't actually given that much thought, and it's been such a long time since I had a copy of the Village Charter that I didn't have a convenient way to look it up.

Funny enough, one of my friends who has been a long time resident, and a long time Commissioner/Mayor, called me about this.  His impression was that one of the "new" Commissioners could simply offer to accept a two year term.  I wondered about drawing straws.  Both of us thought either method would be acceptable.

But apparently, the Village Clerk says we have to have an election anyway, simply to find out who comes in last (and gets the two year term).

It's a shame we didn't realize this a couple of weeks or so ago.  If we have to spend $12K on an election anyway, it would have been great if Jonathan Groth, Veronica Amsler, and Art Gonzalez had simply resigned, since none of them contributes a thing, and the election we now have to have would also have served to fill their seats.

If we have to spend $12K to accomplish essentially nothing, it would have been much better to spend $12K to accomplish possibly a lot. 

Although if Dan Samaria goes along with an adaptive majority, then at least the Commission is no longer dominated by maladaptive people.  I still wish it wouldn't have to cost us $12K to get that to happen, maybe, but a Commission that functions is much better than Commissions that don't, which is what we've had for the past eight years.

Tuesday, August 27, 2024

"Sextortion"

You might or might not be familiar with this new portmanteau.  You are most definitely familiar with "social" media.

A growing avalanche of criticism, or at least concern, has been written about "social" media.  Its come-on is that it's social, but it's really antisocial, and it has a number of problematic consequences.  We're talking here about facebook, Instagram, Twitter/nuTwitter/X, Tik Tok, and probably some others.  The "dating" apps are another kind of problem.  The conclusion is that all of them are stress-provoking, burdensome, cause problematic efforts to adapt to whatever is promoted as the preferred style and configuration of features, and at worst, lead to more or less diagnosable problems and even suicides.

"Sextortion" is an example of this problem.  It involves frankly seducing someone to provide compromising photographs of him- or herself, then blackmailing the person by threatening to make these photographs public, or else...

The easy answer is not to take and transmit compromising photographs of yourself, so you have no "exposure."  It's a good idea, and it ranks with other advice about never doing anything wrong or imperfect, and not making any mistakes.  Even if you're young.  The most recent petition I've seen was about a 17 year old boy who killed himself because of whatever shame he anticipated might result from the "sextortion."  Something tells me the person who "sextorted" this boy did not confirm that the victim was underage.  Something tells me the "sextortionist" didn't care, or preferred that the victim be young and easier to manipulate.

"Sextortion" is a focused problem, but there's a bigger problem.  It is increasingly acknowledged that "social" media is a problem, and it creates problems.  It consumes time and attention, suggests imagery, like physique, that the viewer is at pains to emulate, is highly corruptible, and encourages people to buy things that are either too expensive or faulty, and for which it's essentially impossible to get a refund.  There's an increasing suicide rate, mostly among minors, caused by the toxic wake of "social" media.  "Sextortion" is only one of the specific mechanisms leading minors to paint themselves into that corner.

And "social" media make money, for themselves.  Unless it's Elon Musk fucking up yet another enterprise, they make a lot of money.  If the public are the victims, or the stooges, the "social" media companies are most certainly not.

Years ago, the high school I attended planned a reunion.  I don't remember if it was the 40th or the 45th.  The organizers chose to communicate with everyone via Classmates.com.  I still receive Classmates e-mails, and there's no way to unsubscribe.  When I was more naive about it, I had a facebook page.  It was not at all easy to deactivate that account.  These companies make advertising money by claiming a circulation or membership.  They're not going to help you disengage.

So, as seemingly direct it is to try to prosecute whoever "sextorted" a given person (who might well now be dead from suicide, and whom his or her family can't have back), it's a lot more complicated to dismantle the "social" media companies.  But they're the bigger problem.  If you think they're your friends, I encourage you to stop kidding yourselves.


Sunday, August 25, 2024

Question Resolved

Will Tudor did not declare a candidacy.

There are three candidates -- Kennedy, Huntington, and Samaria -- and those are our three Commissioners in November.

We have saved ourselves about $12K, which we would have had to pay to add Commissioners to the general election.

 

"An Unserious Man?"

That's what Kamala Harris called Donnie Trump.  And there are two problems with a characterization like that.

First, Donnie Trump is not a man at all.  Other people charitably refer to him as a "man child."  The "child" part is accurate.  Donnie is 78, of large stature, and he could chronologically be called a "man."  But he only gets that label because he's old, and because he didn't happen to die very young.  In terms of things like maturity, he's not in the orbit of a "man."

I suppose someone could say I was splitting rhetorical hairs, but I wouldn't call Donnie "unserious."  He certainly is unserious, but that's way too generous a term for him.  It was about four years ago, in a debate, that Joe Biden called him a "clown," twice.  That's much closer.  And frankly, Donnie is a caricature.  He's sort of a caricature of himself.  If you imagine someone who once had a nice appearance, and who people thought was some sort of success (which he never was), he has become an aged, rambling, nonsensical, grossly unworthy, totally and relentlessly self-involved, version of that.  His own supporters walk out of rallies he hosts, because at some point, they just can't bear to listen to his blather any more.  And watch his air accordion.  I don't know whether it's mostly the incoherence, the childish name-calling of other people, or what.  But clearly, it's unbearable.  I even saw some reports of Fox News anchors shutting him up, or shutting him down, or shutting him off.  Biden told him to shut up four years ago, too.  How prescient.

He clearly has no idea what he's talking about, which is why he lapses into his completely unrelated rambling, that always includes mention of who likes him (it's the common joke among leaders of other countries that if you compliment him, he'll give you whatever you want), how popular he is, how big his crowds are, how everything that happened during his term was the best, and nothing was bad, and other material that doesn't require him to know anything.  Which he doesn't.

But not only does he claim to know what he's talking about, but he also claims personal expertise in areas in which he wasn't trained, and about which he knows nothing.  That's why Project 2025 appeals to him: it allows him to be an expert in every area of function.  He can pretend to be an expert in politics, an expert in economics, an expert in medicine, and an expert in anything he wants.

And the other absurd, "unserious," thing he's been spouting lately, possibly another reflection of Project 2025 -- of course there's no connection between what he says and what he thinks, and no connection between what he says and what could possibly be real -- is that if he is elected this year, there will be no further need for any future American presidential elections.  It's unclear if he means he expects to live forever, and always get re-elected, or if he means we will discontinue the American "experiment," and just have him name his successor, who might then name his or her successor, and so on.  We went to a lot of trouble to end our status as a British colony, but Donnie seems to think we should replace our independence (we even had a "Declaration" of it) with being the colony of him and his and others' future designees.  All that trouble, and we go back to having kings and queens after all anyway.

"An unserious man?"  It hardly scratches the surface of the Donnie Trump catastrophe.


Friday, August 23, 2024

Has Push Come to Shove?

Someone sent me a text message this morning while I was still sleeping.  Ugh.  And I very much don't like text messages.  The message was to let me know that today is the last day to declare a candidacy for BP Commissioner, and to ask me to run.

So, because I don't like text messaging, I called the person who sent me the message.  I prefer in person, but telephone will do.

It turns out there were, at that moment, three candidates for the three seats, Dan Samaria was one of the people who declared a candidacy (incumbent Mac Kennedy, and appointed incumbent Ryan Huntington were the others), and the person who reached out to me did not want Dan to become a Commissioner.  Not terribly long thereafter, the same person told me that Will Tudor also declared a candidacy, because Will also did not want Dan to become a Commissioner.  I listened to the story -- I was awake at this point -- no part of this sounded other than very bad, so I decided to call Dan.

I asked Dan which Dan Samaria was running for Commissioner.  Was it the first Dan Samaria, who had relied on support from the Rosses and the Andersons, and been an unexpectedly good Commissioner, or was it the second Dan Samaria, who tended to vote in accordance with Tracy Truppman, and seemed to preoccupy himself with picking fights with then Commissioner Mac Kennedy.

Dan acknowledged that he had made mistakes -- lost his bearings and sense of which end was up -- that he had come to realize that he had gotten off course, and that it was the first Dan Samaria who was now running.  But the first Dan Samaria appears still to harbor some antipathy toward Mac Kennedy, or at least toward Mac's spouse, "Dan Snyder" (I corrected him a few times, and told him that Mac's spouse is Dan Schneiger, not Snyder, and he got it right once), and I told Dan (Samaria) that Mac's spouse, and whatever Dan thinks Mac's spouse says about him, are not relevant, and that the job of a BP Commissioner is to worry about the best welfare of the Village, not to get distracted with who reportedly says what.

I also told Dan that he was right to rely on the Rosses and the Andersons, although he kept coming up with complaints about Janey Anderson and Chuck Ross.  I must have told him 100 times to focus, and don't get distracted with what he thinks people say, or even what they think.

I told Dan that Roxy Ross, and Chuck Ross, were never wrong, and whenever I disagreed with them, I always had to try to figure out what I got wrong.  And that didn't mean we weren't entitled to differences of opinion, or even voting in opposing ways.  But they were 100% trustworthy to have the best interests of the Village most prominently at heart.  But so was I, and sometimes, there are choices to be made, or different, but equally good and right, approaches to adopt.

I asked Dan who, on the present Commission, or among the people running, is always right.  There is one person who is always right.  Different style, and you don't like it?  Sure.  No problem.  But, as I put it to someone else, who is the North Star?  There's one, and only one.  (It's Mac Kennedy.)

So why are we having this conversation?  There are two reasons.  One is that I do not consider myself electable (and I would be champing at the bit to get rid of the manager, who is a disaster), and the other is Will Tudor.  He's another kind of disaster.  His original reason for running was to be part of a majority that would protect him from following Village Codes (with neighbors like that...), and, as someone accurately described him, he is a "pussy."  He sat by his Mama Tracy, did whatever she said, mumbled incoherent nonsense when he was called upon for an opinion (which his Mama didn't actually want anyway), and has absolutely NOTHING to offer.  It's actually a joke that Will thinks Dan is a problem.

So that's why I called Dan.  I wanted to see if there was any possibility that he was salvageable, since I don't think I'm electable, and therefore of no value in this mess.  If I had to choose a somewhat workable Dan, who could more or less keep his eye on the ball, or Will, I'd take Dan in a heartbeat.

Dan offered to rein himself in, and either not respond to outreaches from his neighbors/constituents, or keep them very brief, but I told Dan he can't do that.  He's imagining sort of ignoring people he thinks will vote him into office, allow him decision-making authority, and pay him a small amount, and he owes them.  He can't assume they will agree with him, and he's not required to agree with them, but if they reach out, he has to reach back.  If he doesn't agree with them, which is fine, then he owes them his best explanation.  We have a Commission now, and a couple before, that can't be bothered for one instant with their neighbors/constituents.  Except one, who always responds.  It did not used to be like this.

So, if I do declare a candidacy, I doubt you'll vote for me.  If I don't declare, please vote for Dan.  I've made contact, and he even suggested, all by himself, that maybe he'd rely on me.  That's fine.  I won't tell him what positions he should take about anything.  I'll just keep him on track, decorum-wise and focus-wise.

My reflex was not to disagree with Will Tudor about his apprehensions about Dan.  But offering himself as a replacement is, as I say, a disaster.  FYI, not only did Will get on the Commission in the first place to protect himself from having to follow Village Code (install a driveway), but he still hasn't done it.  Helluva neighbor.


Saturday, August 17, 2024

Donnie's Gonna Win. The Polls Are Clear. Well, As Clear As Polls Get.

Do you happen to remember the famous photograph of Harry Truman holding up a newspaper, at the end of election day, or maybe even the next morning, and the headline said "Dewey Defeats Truman?"  Are you aware of a president named Truman?  You are?  Does president Dewey ring a bell?  No?  Hmm.

It's impossible you don't know that everyone knew Hillary Clinton gave all available evidence that she was going to beat Donnie in 2016.   Did that happen?  No?  Hmm.

And now, there's this: Donald Trump Gets Polling Win Amid Kamala Harris Surge (msn.com)  Donnie WINS, according to a poll of 2700 "likely voters" out of 200M registered voters.  It's possible it's more than 200M now that the young'uns have reached voting age, and their goddess, Taylor Swift, has swelled the voting public with her encouragement to register.

And how badly did Donnie strike down Harris?  Well, according to this poll, he's one point ahead, and the margin of error is 1.9 points.  So they're statistically tied.  According to this poll.  Among someone's selection of 1) "likely voters," who 2) agreed to respond to a questionnaire.

We learned from polls, including some newspaper's EXIT (!) poll and whatever indicator Clinton relied on, that polls aren't worth much.  (We used to think that the only poll that counted was the one on election day, until Donnie started proposing that we could disqualify that one, too, and call them wrong and thefts, if he didn't win.)  And this one is worth even less, because it's a very small number of people, and the results were within the margin of error.

Yes, of course I know that Donnie will claim that his is bigger, and his "evidence" is some fantasy that no matter how increasingly small his crowds are getting, and how increasingly large Harris' are getting, everyone's lying, and they do it with mirrors or AI, despite the reports from people on site.  I would expect nothing else from Donnie, that bastion of reality and unwavering honesty.  He's also gone so far as to tell us in advance that if he doesn't win, he'll claim this loss will be a theft, too, and he's asked us to expect a "bloodbath."  (There's a real American for you.  He's not threatening to throw boxes of tea into Boston Harbor, He's threatening to urge his supporters to kill people, sort of like he did...last time.)

So, the fact is that we will all know on November 6, and not a day sooner (unless someone is so blindingly trounced that they concede -- no, Donnie never concedes: 65 federal judges can't get him to give it up), and no current poll of 800, or 1000, or 2700 "likely voters" means anything.  I guess if you're desperate enough, you'll tell yourself it must mean something.

In the meantime, if you're desperately worried about Donnie, as a proportion of Americans are, you can keep sending him your money.  Donnie is not capable of supporting himself (and he's infamous for hiring people, then stiffing them), and he, like Blanche Dubois, "depend[s] on the kindness of strangers."  Would he accept your last nickel?  In a heartbeat, sucka.


Monday, August 12, 2024

Yeah, I Know. It's Only Maura Healey. But Still...

I was listening to WBUR (one of the two NPR stations in Boston) today, and they were interviewing Gov Maura Healey.  She used to be the Attorney General until she became the governor.

They have some serious issues up in Massachusetts, with homelessness, a good-sized hospital chain that was destroyed by venture capitalists and private equity people (can you call that kind of vermin "people?"), and an influx of unexpected new residents compliments of garbage like little Ronnie DeSantis, whatever he thinks he's trying to prove.  But the Commonwealth, and Gov Healey, are doing the best they can.

At the end of the interview, Healey said what everyone knows, which is that Donnie Trump has one interest in life, and it's himself.

People were very concerned about Biden, and he finally did the right thing, and stepped aside.  Since then, there's been a torrent of support for Harris, and somehow even more after she chose Walz as a running mate.  And this is despite the absence of a primary, which is owed to the public, and continuing and increasing condemnation of Netanyahu's crusade against all Palestinians.  Even increasing numbers of Israelis are complaining about this genocide, and Harris hasn't even bothered to say she disagrees.

But just now, I saw an article discussing a "shock poll" that showed that an increasing proportion of the public now consider Democrats to be the best stewards of the economy.  Shock poll reveals who Americans trust more to handle the economy (msn.com) Although it's true that over time (at least since Reagan), no one has been more fiscally irresponsible than Republicans, they have somehow continued to ride this bucking bronco about how they're more trustworthy regarding the American economy.  Not any more.  People are finally awakening from their stupor, and realizing who actually cares about them, and the country, and its finances.

I have no illusions.  Donnie will get votes.  Some Americans/voters will never get it.  Or they just won't be able to bring themselves to admit it.  But if we succeed in electing Harris and Walz, which it seems increasingly likely we'll do, we can at least try to claw our way out of the mess that Reagan, and W, and Trump, made, and which, sadly, Obama and Biden didn't correct.  Here's hoping we elect that prosecutor, AG, Senator, and VP as our next president.  If we don't, we can kiss ourselves and our country goodbye.


Sunday, August 11, 2024

This Is a Surprise?

Trump’s Anger Out of Control as Poll Numbers Keep Cratering (msn.com)

It appears that even Donnie's supporters are concerned, as if they didn't expect to see this kind of reaction and behavior.  I don't know anything about him, except what I read, and what I have seen of his rallies and his bizarre term in office, and I'm not in the least surprised that he calls Kamala Harris a bitch.  He has nasty nicknames for most people who aren't he, including other Republicans.

But Miriam Adelson never saw these kinds of reactions and output coming?  And she donates very large amounts of her own money?  I always say that in my experience, on the average, women are smarter than men.  Miriam Adelson is not an example, even if it could easily be argued that she's probably smarter than Donnie.  But it's also an example of how dumb people can become when they have too much money.  They can't make proper decisions.

At the very least, his so-called advisors "are...aware that they are unlikely to change a 78 year old man known for his stubbornness."  Although they somehow haven't given up entirely.  "He has to convince himself to leave the other garbage behind."  Good luck with that.  And this strategy -- that he can leave the other garbage behind -- is based on what?  His childlike total self-centeredness, stubbornness, and tendency to bully people don't suggest that kind of capacity.

I can't imagine why the advisors are hopeful, but at least they have brains enough to be "deeply rattled."

What seems shocking is the polling, that shows Harris not much ahead of Donnie.  But if I'm entirely honest and candid here, I have to confess that I do not respond to online questions regarding for whom I'm going to vote, because I want Harris to work hard, and not take the voters for granted, and I want Donnie to be his usual cocky and out to lunch self who assumes he has nothing to worry about.  Although I don't think people who answer online questions like that are the subjects of polls.  On the other hand, most polls are of a few or several hundred people or more, out of 200M, and the fact is that there's only one poll that counts.  It will happen on November 5.  So who knows how these people are chosen, or what the polls mean, apart from actually nothing?  (You might remember the very famous newspaper front page held up by Truman, that said "Dewey Beats Truman.")

The linked video is of an interview with a guy named Tim Miller.  Miller is always referred to as a conservative, but Brian Cohen, who is an arch progressive liberal, has him on a lot.  Miller is an example of a question I have that has never been answered: what, exactly, is the more normal Rep/con agenda?  What's their platform?  Miller, who is himself homosexual (and has a husband), must realize that the current Tea Party/MAGA movement doesn't approve of him, and it's always a puzzle why he still calls himself a Republican.  Unless he means an older style Republican, whatever that platform is.  It's hard work being a Republican.  You have to ignore reality, and you have to want to convince the public to want something that is averse to their best interests.  Yes, of course you have to cheat, and to rely on exorbitant amounts of private graft, but Miller always seems like a remarkably sensible, intelligent, and reasonable guy.  He's just a Republican, whatever that means to him, and he wants the Republicans to win, but he can discuss their problems, like Donnie.

So, yeah, between Donnie and JD, they're sinking like stones, and it's really hard to see how they don't get wiped out in November.  But they're trying.  They're accepting as much campaign money as they can lay their hands on, trying to keep who would likely vote against them from voting, trying to persuade Americans that they're being overrun by criminals (even though every statistic says we're definitely not), and whatever else they have to do.  It's what they always do.  It's really not a surprise.


Thursday, August 8, 2024

It's Our Own Fault, One Way Or the Other.

I get e-mails all day, every day.  They request campaign donations for people running for office.  You get them, too.

Often enough, the hard sell is that the other candidate is ahead in building a campaign war chest, so it's really important to donate.  The other candidate, we're often told, is winning, as if they're winning the election, because they have more money.

A version of that has come true very recently.  Incumbents Jamaal Bowman and Cori Bush both lost primaries, because (or we're told it's because) AIPAC unloaded tens of millions of dollars on their opponents.  In the primaries.  In favor people who represent the same party, but, for AIPAC's important purpose, are either not opposed to the genocide being perpetrated by Israel (Netanyahu), or didn't say they were opposed.  But Bowman and Bush were openly opposed.  So AIPAC's money floodgates opened wide.  And Bowman and Bush lost.

The issue, though, is why it's important who has how much money.  A side issue, of course, is that large donors are buying something, and they expect to receive what they've paid for.  That's between the donor and the candidate.  (If it occurs to you that you, the public, the voter, the taxpayer, the supposed constituent, are missing from this deceptively simple equation, you're absolutely right.  This has nothing to do with you.  You're a pawn.  You're a stooge.  But at the same time, you're in a weird, indirect way sort of the point, because electeds don't get elected unless you vote for them.  And "therein," the Bard tells us, "lies the rub."  How can you be completely irrelevant, and even often enough a victim, while at the same time being the point?)

American politics are amazingly corrupt, especially considering they were intended to be a democracy.  You might not have any wish to live in a dictatorship, and your initial impression might be that you don't like them, but you understand them.  Someone wishes to be in power, and often enough raid the public coffers, so they elbow everyone else out of the way in one way or another.  You understand the goal, and it's not hard to see how it gets achieved.  But you don't think you live in a dictatorship, because where you live, you get to choose who's in office.  That's what you tell yourself.  So what's with the very well-funded war chests?  What's with AIPAC?  Why don't candidates simply make their arguments, have some debates, and see who's more persuasive?

The problem is, what if the arguments, or platforms, are terrible, and almost no one would favor them?  But you still, somehow, want to win an election, on the "strength" of an argument with which few people would agree, and will imperil or disadvantage most people?  Well...you sort of have to cheat, in one way or another.  The easy way to cheat is not to tell the public/voters the truth.  And that certainly happens.  Or you convert your position (or the title of a Bill) into some sort of legalese so that it's not recognizable for what it is.  In fact, it's proposed as the opposite of what it really is.

Or you can stop the people who are most likely to disagree with you from voting.  That's also an industry.  If you think the people with the greatest disadvantages, who get themselves in legal trouble trying to cope with their disadvantages, would be more likely to vote for a candidate who offers advantages, or some sort of repair, you just invent a new law that says that anyone who was in legal trouble can't vote.  Ever.  Or, if you can identify large enough groups of people who wouldn't agree with you, and would vote for someone else, you invent a voting district, just for them, and lump them all into that district, so as many of them as possible get to vote for one candidate, and everyone else gets to vote for several candidates, or lots of them.  But still, that has nothing obvious to do with those very large donations.

I said something wrong many months ago, and someone corrected me privately.  I said that broadcast media were required to broadcast, for free, emergency alerts.  It did used to be that way, but Reagan ended the requirement.  I have no idea why Reagan would have wanted to keep the public unaware of emergency alerts, but it raises an issue.  It sort of raises two of them.  They might, in theory, have nothing to do with each other, except they both contribute to the money train and the corruption in American "democracy."

First, let's suppose that politicians, who were not themselves being bought off by, for example, the broadcast media -- I still don't know why they would object to donating a few seconds to emergency alerts -- realized that Reagan imperiled the public, and they reinstated the requirement for the free emergency alert broadcasts.  If they could take that step -- it sounds like a small step (but "a giant leap for mankind," so to speak) -- maybe it would occur to them that there are other things the broadcast media should be required to broadcast for free.  For the sake of discussion, I would propose that they give equal time to all political candidates, and broadcast whatever the candidates want to say.  Let them give us their best argument, for free, and they're not allowed to spend money on yard signs or anything else.  Mano a mano.  The problem is that someone would have to pass a law like that, and the people who would have to pass it are the incumbents, who would in no way agree to give challengers the same chance the incumbents have.  (It's a well-known farce how much time incumbents spend on the phone getting their besties to donate, instead of, you know, being in their house of Congress and doing the public's business.)  They have an advantage, and they want to keep it that way.

One reason, then, to have a lot of money is that it helps you cheat.  An indirect part of cheating is buying visibility, on TV, with yard signs, or any other method.  And that brings us to the other reason for the need for money.  I regret to say that the public is more or less tragically influenceable.  If candidates bombard them with exposure, the public have shown a willingness to take the easy route, and assume that whoever is most visible must be better.  The public do not evaluate the candidates and their arguments.  They can't be bothered, and besides, campaign seasons are very protracted, at least on a national level.  (That's the linchpin to the other problem.)  How much time and effort are most people going to spend evaluating candidates over the course of many months or more than a year, when they can just rely on some easy-to-remember-and-repeat soundbites that they hear frequently?

What we need, then, is much shorter campaigns, and no private money.  Candidates have limited time to make their best arguments, and all they get is that argument, for which they have the same opportunity as do their competition.  When I say limited time, the UK had an election in the very recent past.  From the time the dissolution of government was announced until the new election was less than a month.  Either you've been successful at making a compelling argument, or you already have a positive reputation, or maybe the voters just want someone new.  But it just doesn't take that long, or cost that much.

As for cost, my proposal is zero.  Coming back to Reagan, or before him, we know that our government can care about the public first, and demand that broadcast media provide emergency alerts, for example, for free.  Broadcast media would not like to provide political advertising for free, because they make a great deal of their income that way.  And we all know how marginal is their income.  But if we could get Americans to pay taxes, especially those Americans with way more money and income than they need, or for which they have any use anyway, then the government can pay the broadcast media a fair, not inflated, rate.

My own theory, which I might or might not have shared in the past, is that anyone who wants to run for office qualifies on day 1.  From then on, each candidate has to provide an increasing number of signatures of voters who want to see them stay in the race.  We're not talking about the candidate for whom they plan to vote, but just someone who inspires enough to lead voters to want them in the race.  As the number of required signatures, maybe every two weeks, for example, gets larger, and not enough voters see the value of a given candidate in the race any more, then that candidate is dropped.  At the end, we might have one candidate.  Or 15.  And whoever is left is who goes on the ballot.  No private money, and no mind-numbingly protracted campaigns.  Candidates no longer get paid for, bought, and owned (their constituency really is the public!), and the public can go to the trouble to think seriously about what's best for them and the country.  Just for a limited amount of time.


Sunday, August 4, 2024

Dems Are Taking the Wrong Approach

I get e-mail after e-mail taunting little Donnie Trump, and challenging him to agree to a debate with Kamala Harris, without a net (his protectors who run interference for him at Fox "News.")

But what's to debate?  The fact that little Donnie's tail is farther between his legs than anyone imagined a tail could go, and the fact that little Donnie lies continually, and the fact that Harris is a former prosecutor who knows very well how to deal with riff-raff like little Donnie, and the fact that we already watched little Donnie screw up four years in the White House, really says everything that has to be said.

Where would little Donnie be without Mitchy McConnell, and the SCOTUS supermajority Mitchy confirmed for him?  He'd be watching very late night nonsense on television, masturbating into his social media, and trying hard not to drown in the bathtub.

If I were Harris, or the people running her campaign, I wouldn't say another word about it.  She already said she'd be there waiting at her podium on the originally scheduled day, and there's nothing more to say.  She should be there, as Jon Ossoff was there when David Perdue chickened out.  They can ask her questions, including hard questions, and she can answer them.  She's running for president, and she's a normal person.  She must have a platform, or a theory, or an approach to various issues, and she should reveal them.  Little Donnie doesn't count any more.  "No, but..."  "Only if..."  Who cares about little Donnie's dodges any more?

Sure, he'll get some votes.  The reason for dog whistles is the presence of instinct-driven dogs.

But it's all over now.  The polls show it, and everyone knows it.

Harris is excited and proud of herself, and in my opinion, she gives too many big smiles.  This is a serious job, it's hard, if you do it right, and every day that she doesn't cut off the Israelis, more innocent Palestinians, and aid workers, and journalists, get killed.  And DeJoy is still there fucking up everyone's mail.  Harris and Biden need to straighten that out, NOW!

But November?  It's taken care of.  Harris, her campaign team, and Dems can't get fixated on that any more.  Harris and her team can't bother about little Donnie and his ultra-generous backing that's not doing him any good.  He's shot himself in the foot so many times that he probably needs a leg amputated by now.  And if, in reality, he doesn't have any leg to stand on, then he can have them both amputated.

This party's over.  I know there have been many people, and an increasing number of them, who say this Party's over.  Maybe so.  It's a lot of self-inflicted injury.  Nobody told them to do that.  People keep telling them not to.


Tuesday, July 30, 2024

Once Again, Donnie Trump is Right.

I've seen two versions of Kamala Harris.  The first one was when she was a Senator from California, and she was grilling SCOTUS nominees.  She was intense, focused, eminently knowledgeable, unwavering from the essential issues, and, if I had been a SCOTUS nominee whose record and qualifications she doubted, frankly terrifying.  She decided to run for president, and she was my first choice.

Then, I saw the other version of Kamala Harris.  She seemed more timid, cute and girly, and the whole vibe of being commanding and in charge was gone.  It's true the DNC had already decided to spotlight Biden, and give him any advantage they could, and he had the support of the voters, and maybe she was cleverly angling for the VP choice, which she got.  But I was very disappointed, and she wasn't my first choice any more.

But now, that prosecutor, that tiger, has been unleashed again.  She's all that, and everything else, too.  And everyone knows it.  Watch the video of Louisiana Senator John Kennedy, who gets warned by a Fox host (!)  GOP Senator Gets Called Out On Fox News Over 'Ding Dong' Insult | HuffPost Latest News.  Watch Brian Cohen and his video BREAKING: Trump FINALLY responds to Kamala’s debate challenge (youtube.com).  Someone asks Harris if she thinks Trump is afraid to debate her.  She says "he should be."

And Trump is hiding and running as scared as possible.  As Cohen points out, Trump is all about a two-dimensional image that isn't true.  He's not a tough guy.  If his mommy was still alive, he'd be hiding behind her skirt, holding on to her legs.  Debate Kamala Harris, who has come back to her powerful self?  Step into the cage with her?  Suicide is quicker and less painful.  And suicide is what little Donnie is working on.  He was dying for a piece of Joe Biden, and he'd take as many shots as anyone would give him.  Kamala Harris?  Um...no.

Everybody can see it, and everybody gets it.  Donnie is like whatever person puts comments on this blog, but insists upon calling him- or herself  "Anonymous."  Make moronic and irrelevant cracks, and know that everyone knows who you are, and is laughing at you?  It doesn't sound like a good plan.  "Uncle Donnie, what should I do?"  "Hide, kid.  Some places are very unsafe for weak people who got nothin'.  I wouldn't even debate other Republicans, because they're all smarter and stronger than I am.  I took a chance with Biden, because I had a sense he was weak. You make sure to keep calling yourself 'Anonymous,' and I'm staying way out of Kamala Harris' way.  If you and I are not careful, we're both going to get hurt.  I was lucky.  My ear got grazed by a gunshot wound from one of my own supporters.  Getting in the cage with Kamala Harris would be a lot worse.  I'd get laughed at for the rest of my life.  And so would you if you let people know who you are."

So, Donnie is absolutely right to give a very wide berth to dealing with Harris.  Unfortunately for him, it just cements the image of him as a meaningless child.  But the worst that can happen is he'll lose an election, again, and complain that he didn't really lose it, and was robbed.  Maybe he can find 65 more judges who will tell him again to knock it off.  At his age, it's way too late to tell him to grow up.  He's got a carefully chosen SCOTUS and Aileen Cannon to try to protect him, but that's about all he's got left.